四川省经济发展与城乡统筹关系的实证研究  

An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between Economic Development and the Urban-Rural Interactions in Sichuan Province

作　　者：刘耀森[1] 涂文明[2] 

机构地区：[1]重庆三峡学院应用技术学院,重庆万州404100 [2]成都信息工程学院商学院,四川成都610103

出　　处：《云南民族大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2012年第6期107-111,共5页Journal of Yunnan Minzu University(Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"新型工业化道路西部省区实现模式与机制研究"(项目编号:10XJL0013)阶段成果

摘　　要：以四川省1985～2009年的统计数据为基础,对四川省经济发展与城乡统筹的关系展开实证分析。研究表明,四川省经济发展与城乡统筹之间存在协整关系,同时,无论是短期或长期,四川省经济发展与城乡统筹之间均存在双向的、互为因果的互动关系。脉冲响应分析表明,经济发展不会自动实现城乡统筹的协调发展,反而进一步拉大了城乡之间的差距。城乡统筹水平对经济发展的影响,在短期内极不显著,但从长期看,城乡统筹状况对经济发展有明显的作用。因此,在注重经济发展的同时,应更加注重构建城乡统筹发展的长效机制,以实现共同富裕。Based on the statistical data of Sichuan Province from 1985 to 2009,this paper analyzes the relationship between economic development and urban-rural interactions in Sichuan Province.The result shows that there is a co-integration relationship between economic development and urban-rural interactions in Sichuan Province,and there also exists a short-term or a long-time causal relationship between them.The impulse response analysis shows that economic growth does not automatically lead to harmonious development between urban and rural areas,but broadens the gap between them.Urban-rural interactions have no significant influence on economic development in a short term.In the long run,urban-rural interactions have some negative effect on economic development.To realize shared prosperity,we should focus on economic development and pay great attention to the lasting mechanism of overall development of urban and rural areas.

关 键 词：经济发展 城乡统筹 协整 脉冲响应 互动关系 

分 类 号：F014.7[经济管理—政治经济学]