2012年欧美经济运行现状和未来走势分析  

Analysis of the Current Situations of Economies in Europe and U.S. and Outlook in 2012

作　　者：王金明[1] 刘金周[1] 周美[1] 

机构地区：[1]吉林大学数量经济研究中心,吉林长春130012

出　　处：《科技促进发展》2012年第9期51-55,共5页Science & Technology for Development

基　　金：国家社科基金重大招标项目(10zd&010):"十二五"时期宏观经济运行动态监测分析研究;首席专家:高铁梅;教育部人文社会科学青年基金项目(12YJC790184):基于合成指数对我国通货膨胀影响因素及传导机制的动态分析;负责人:王金明

摘　　要：当前,欧美经济体受债务问题困扰,仍然处在艰难复苏中,全球经济下行风险加大。本文从经济增长、物价波动、失业状况和制造业发展等层面对欧美经济目前的现状进行分析,并基于联合国和IMF的预测结果对经济未来走势进行判断。欧美经济将对中国产生较大的影响,我国既需要采取合适的经济政策实现平稳快速增长,又要预防欧美流动性扩张可能引发的通货膨胀对我国产生影响。Currently, beset by sovereign debt problems, the increases European and American economies are slowly, and downside risk of the global economy is increasing. This paper will analyze the current situations of the economies in Europe and the United States from such aspects as economic growth, inflation, unemployment situation and the develop- ment of the manufacturing industry, and, according to United Nations and the IMF forecasts, deduce the future tendency. We also argue that the economies of Europe and the United States will have a great influence on China, thus, we should take ap- propriate economic policies to achieve stable and rapid economic growth. But, we also should be careful of the transmission of the possible inflation, which will be caused by the liquidity expansion, to our country.

关 键 词：欧美经济 经济增长 通货膨胀 

分 类 号：F113[经济管理—国际贸易]