基于生态足迹理论的陕西省可持续发展研究  

Research of Sustainable Development of Shaanxi Province with the Ecological Footprint Method

作　　者：龚杰昌[1] 李潇[1] 曾先峰[2] 

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学经济与金融学院,陕西西安710002 [2]西安外国语大学经济金融学院,陕西西安710128

出　　处：《西安交通大学学报（社会科学版）》2012年第6期60-65,86,共7页Journal of Xi'an Jiaotong University：Social Sciences

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(12&ZD072);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(SKZD11016);陕西省教育厅人文社会科学专项项目(11JK0192)

摘　　要：运用主成分法研究了陕西省的生态足迹,研究发现:1990-2009年陕西省均出现生态赤字,处于不可持续的发展状态;使用计量方法做进一步的预测,表明在未来10年,陕西省的生态赤字状态仍将不断加剧,可持续发展面临更加严峻的考验;提出实现陕西省可持续发展的关键在于打破现有发展模式,实施产业结构的战略性调整。It is an important basis on which to estimate the ecological footprint scientifically in order to judge the sus- tainable development state of a district quantitatively and to make a plan for the future development mode effectively. The ecological footprint of Shaanxi province has been studied with the principal components method. The study has found that Shaanxi province saw ＂ecological deficit＂ over the 1990 -2009 period, staying in unsustainable status. Using the measuring method, the further prediction indicates that in the future decade, the ＂ecological deficit＂ status in Shaanxi province will be exacerbated continuously and the sustainable development will face more severe test. The key to implementing sustainable development of Shaanxi province is to break the existing development mode and actualize the strategic adjustment of the industrial structure.

关 键 词：生态足迹 生态承载力 生态赤字 陕西省 社会可持续发展 

分 类 号：C916[经济管理]