海峡两岸一体化对双边经济增长潜力的影响——基于ASW理论框架的实证检验  

The Impact of Cross Strait Integration on the Potential of Bilateral Economic Growth

作　　者：黄新飞[1] 翟爱梅[1] 李腾[1] 

机构地区：[1]中山大学,广州510275

出　　处：《中国经济问题》2012年第6期3-12,共10页China Economic Studies

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(71003111);广东省普通高校人文社会科学一般项目(10WYXM062);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(10pywk11)的资助

摘　　要：本文在ASW理论框架基础上将中国28个省区和台湾配对组合,采用1993—2009年的面板数据进行GMM估计,结果显示:海峡两岸经济一体化显著提升海峡两岸的经济增长潜力,完全一体化对经济增长潜力的提升作用大于市场一体化。台湾在市场一体化和完全一体化后经济增长潜力受益最大,分别是大陆28个省区平均值的5.7倍和2.2倍。进一步分析发现:东部与台湾之间的区域一体化所引致的经济增长潜力最大,福建在海峡经济一体化过程中经济增长潜力均高于其他省区。Based on the ASW theoretical framework, we combine 28 provinces in China with Taiwan and use the 1993-2009 panel data to carry out an empirical analysis by GMM method. The empirical research shows that：Cross-strait economic integra- tion significantly promotes bilateral potential growth, and the effect of full integration on the economic growth is greater than the effect of market integration. Taiwan economy benefits most from either market integration or full integration, and its economic growth potential is 5.7 times and 2.2 times of that of 28 provinces in China owing to market integration and full integration, re- spectively. To the regional view, we further find that the effect on promoting the economic growth of the east is the highest, espe- cially Fujian.

关 键 词：市场一体化 完全一体化 海峡边界效应整合 ASW理论 

分 类 号：F727[经济管理—产业经济] F224