中国农产品产业内贸易与农业经济增长:基于协整关系的分析  

Co-integration Analysis of the Relationship between Intra-industry Trade in China's Agricultural Products and Agricultural GDP

作　　者：吴学君[1] 朱海英 

机构地区：[1]湖南商学院经济改革与发展研究中心,湖南长沙410205 [2]英国艾克赛特大学商学院

出　　处：《湖南商学院学报》2012年第5期11-15,共5页Journal of Hunan Business College

基　　金：湖南省软科学课题的阶段性成果(项目编号:2011ZK5020)

摘　　要：运用E-G两步法和Granger因果关系检验法，利用Grubel—Lloyd产业内贸易加权指数，对我国1992～2010年间初级农产品产业内贸易与农业经济增长之间的关系进行了实证研究，发现初级农产品产业内贸易与农业经济增长之间存在长期稳定的关系和单向因果关系，初级农产品产业内贸易已经成为促进中国农业经济增长的重要因素。Based on E-G co-integration test and Granger causality test,the paper makes an empirical analysis of the relationship between intra-industry trade in primary agricultural products and agricultural economic growth in China by using the data between 1992 and 2010.The results shows that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between them;Granger causality test shows that there is a unidirectional causality between intra-industry trade in agricultural products and agricultural economic growth. Intra-industry trade in primary agricultural products has become a factor to promote agricultural economic growth of China.

关 键 词：农产品产业内贸易 农业经济增长 E-G两步法 GRANGE检验 协整 

分 类 号：F32[经济管理—产业经济]