二氧化硫污染与经济发展的关系:基于面板数据研究  

The Relationship Between Industrial Sulfur Dioxide Pollution and Economic Growth:An Empirical Study Based on Panel Data

作　　者：梁海燕[1] 

机构地区：[1]浙江长征职业技术学院财务与会计学院,浙江杭州310018

出　　处：《五邑大学学报（自然科学版）》2012年第4期59-65,共7页Journal of Wuyi University(Natural Science Edition)

摘　　要：利用我国1991—2010年的人均工业二氧化硫排放量和人均国内生产总值数据,通过建立省级面板模型,验证我国工业二氧化硫污染的环境库兹涅茨曲线是否存在.实证结果发现,我国经济发展与工业二氧化硫污染之间存在长期均衡关系,并且呈现出一种M型曲线形式.进一步联系经济发展的形势得出,M型曲线的前两个拐点是由于经济数据没有真实反映经济发展情况所产生的虚假拐点,M型曲线的最后一个拐点是否为真实的环境库兹涅茨曲线拐点还有待时间的检验.By establishing provincial panel data model, this paper aim to confirm the industrial sulfur dioxide pollution Environmental Kuznets Cui＇ve （EKC） with the figures of China＇s per capita industrial sulfilr dioxide emission and per capita GDPiGross Domestic Product） in some provinces from 1991 to 2010. The results show that the relationship between economic development and industrial sulfur dioxide pollution presents an M-shaped Khznets curve. According to economic growth situation, the first two inflection points of the M-shaded Kuznets curve are false inflection points caused by economic data＇s unreal reflection of econoriiic growth situation, while if the last inflection point of the M-shaped Kuznets curve is real EKC inflection point still needs time test.

关 键 词：经济增长 工业二氧化硫污染 环境库兹涅茨曲线 面板模型 

分 类 号：F205[经济管理—国民经济]