基于模糊定性仿真的多议题自动谈判模型  

Multi-issue automated negotiation model based on fuzzy qualitative simulation

作　　者：陈培友[1,2] 李一军[1] 高太光[2] 

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨工业大学管理学院,哈尔滨150001 [2]黑龙江科技学院经济管理学院,哈尔滨150027

出　　处：《系统工程理论与实践》2012年第12期2745-2750,共6页Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice

基　　金：黑龙江省博士后基金(LBH-Z05129);国家自然科学基金(71071028);黑龙江省自然科学基金(G201021);黑龙江省骨干教师创新项目(1154G19)

摘　　要：结合模糊定性仿真(FQSIM)理论对多议题谈判进行仿真,构建了基于模糊定性仿真的多议题谈判模型,并且进行了实例验证.从验证结果可以看出,仿真结果符合谈判的逻辑和人们的直观推测,能够清晰反映谈判的变化趋势,该谈判模型相对于传统定性仿真对具体谈判问题具有更强的适应性,更好地解决了由于不确定性因素在定量仿真中产生的问题,可以简化多议题谈判的复杂程度,并增强仿真模型的可信度和实用性.This paper simulates the multi-issue negotiation with fuzzy qualitative simulation method （FQSIM） and constructs the model of multi-issue negotiation based on FQSIM. The fuzzy qualitative simulation process of the model is validated by an example, and we could find that the process was according with the logic of real negotiation and the intuitionistic conjecture of people through the validation result, which could reflect the change direction clearly. The model has good adaptability to real negotiation and had settled the problems that were engendered in traditional quantitive simulation by uncertain factor. The model could reduce the complexity of multi-issue negotiation, and enhance the credibility and usefulness of simulation model.

关 键 词：模糊集 模糊定性仿真 多议题谈判 定性推理 

分 类 号：TP18[自动化与计算机技术—控制理论与控制工程]