我国区际产业转移中的经济风险评估研究:基于TOPSIS模型  

Studies on Economic-risk Assessment in China's Regional Industrial Transferring:Based on Topsis Model

作　　者：陈景岭[1] 

机构地区：[1]扬州大学商学院,江苏扬州225000

出　　处：《科技管理研究》2012年第24期240-246,共7页Science and Technology Management Research

基　　金：江苏省教育厅社科项目"利益相关视角的我国区际产业转移中地区经济风险形成与治理研究"(2012SJB630068);扬州大学人文社科一般项目"我国欠发达地区经济发展风险研究"

摘　　要：在我国区际产业转移研究中引入"经济风险"这一概念,来表征产业转移福利效应的不确定性,建立经济福利风险和社会福利风险分析统一框架,运用改进后的TOPSIS决策模型和2010年我国省级层面数据,评估我国区际产业转移相关地区的经济风险水平,发现我国各地区经济风险水平总体偏高,中西部地区尤为严重,发达地区以经济福利风险为主,欠发达地区经济福利风险和社会福利风险中的环境污染风险都很突出。Studying on regional industrial transferring, this paper introduces the ＂economic risk＂ concept to characterize the uncertainty of welfare effets which China＇ s regional industrial transferring can take. After establishment an unified framework of analysising risk, which includes eonomic welfare risk and social welfare risk, this paper tries to assess the eouomic risk in China＇ s regional industrial transferring by making use of inproved TOPSIS model and 2010 China＇ s provincial - leved data. We find that the level of China＇ s overall regional economic risk is at a high level, reflecting that central and western areas are particularly acute, and that economic well - being risk is notable in developed areas, while economic well - being risk and environmental polllution of social well - being risk are very prominent in developing areas.

关 键 词：区际产业转移 经济风险 评估 TOPSIS模型 

分 类 号：F121.3[经济管理—世界经济] F224