区间数-灰靶决策模型在低碳电网规划评价中的应用  

Evaluation of Low-carbon Power Network Planning Based on Interval and Multi-grey Target Model

作　　者：李晓彤[1] 陈英杰[1] 曾鸣[1] 李凌云[1] 

机构地区：[1]华北电力大学能源与电力经济研究咨询中心,北京102206

出　　处：《水电能源科学》2012年第12期184-186,共3页Water Resources and Power

基　　金：美国能源基金会支持项目(G-1006-12630)

摘　　要：低碳电网规划作为电力工业的一个重要环节,为深入分析和评价低碳电网规划,建立了低碳电网规划评价的综合指标体系,引入区间数理论处理电网规划面临的不确性问题,结合灰色系统理论中的灰靶决策方法构建区间型多指标灰靶决策模型,并以保定地区电网规划为例进行方案评价比选。结果表明,该方法有效合理,准确度和可信度较高。Low carbon power network planning plays an important role in the power industry. In order to analyze the low carbon power network planning, a comprehensive project evaluation index system for low-carbon power network plan ning is proposed, and the interval-number theory is introduced to reflect the uncertainties in planning. And then a multi- grey target decision-making model based on interval-number theory is established. Finally, a specific power network plan- ning in Baoding city is investigated by using this model. Study results indicate that the proposed evaluation index system is reasonable and effective with good accuracy and high reliability.

关 键 词：低碳经济 电网规划 区间数理论 多指标灰靶模型 方案评价 

分 类 号：TM715[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]