北京市入境旅游与饭店旅行社的耦合协调度研究  

Study on the Coupling Coordinative Degree between Inbound Tourism and Hotel-travel Agency——A Case Study of Beijing

作　　者：李培雄[1] 宋保平[1] 张春晖[1] 曹晓仪[1] 

机构地区：[1]陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院,陕西西安710062

出　　处：《旅游论坛》2012年第5期67-71,共5页Tourism Forum

摘　　要：基于2001—2010年北京市入境旅游和饭店旅行社的各指标数据,首先通过相关分析,筛选出与北京市入境旅游发展存在相关关系的饭店旅行社参量,然后借助熵值法,计算出各个参量的权重及评价值,最后建立耦合协调度模型,对入境旅游—饭店旅行社的耦合协调度进行了实证研究。结果发现,十年间,其耦合度一直处于拮抗阶段,但耦合协调度水平变化幅度较大,2003年达到低谷,属于中度失调,2010年达到最高值,属于中级协调。因此,北京市饭店旅行社的发展仍不能有效的支撑其入境旅游的发展,亟待提升和完善。Based on the data of each index which come from inbound tourism and hotel-travel agency in Beijing from 2001 to 2010,this paper selects the parameters which have relationship with the development of inbound tourism through correlation analysis.Then,it applies entropy method to define weighting and evaluation.Finally,it makes an empirical study by constructs the coupling coordinative calculation model between inbound tourism and hotel-travel agency.The result finds that,in this 10 yeas,the coupling degree is always at incompatible stage,while the coupling coordination level changes greatly.it reached trough in 2003 and reached the highest value in 2010.the level of them belong to moderate disorders and moderate coordination separately.Therefore,the development of hotel-travel agency cannot support the growth of inbound tourism effectively,need to be promoted and perfected.

关 键 词：相关分析 熵值法 耦合协调度 北京市 

分 类 号：F592.7[经济管理—旅游管理]