高等教育规模与其影响因素的灰色关联分析  

Grey Incidence Analysis to Higher Education Scale and Its Influential Factors

作　　者：耿立艳[1] 段英文[1] 赵鹏[2] 

机构地区：[1]石家庄铁道大学经济管理学院,河北石家庄050043 [2]河北科技师范学院欧美学院,河北秦皇岛066004

出　　处：《科教文汇》2012年第24期23-24,29,共3页Journal of Science and Education

基　　金：石家庄铁道大学"十二五"教育科学研究规划课题(编号:110333);河北省社会科学发展研究课题民生调研专项课题(课题批准号:201201290)

摘　　要：在分析高等教育规模影响因素的基础上,选取国内生产总值GDP、工业生产总值、第三产业占GDP比重、财政收入、恩格尔系数、财政性教育支出、普通高校数、总人口数作为影响指标,利用灰色关联分析法定量地确定各因素对高等教育规模的影响程度。结果表明,在8项因素中,普通高校数、第三产业占GDP比重、总人口数和恩格尔系数对高等教育规模的影响较大,灰色关联度分别为:0.9397、0.9365、0.9310、0.9258。Based on analyzing the influential factors of higher education scale,the paper selects the eight influential indicators including the gross domestic production（GDP）,the gross industry production,the proportion of the third industry in the GDP,the total fiscal revenue,Engel＇s Coefficient,the fiscal expenditure on education,the number of colleges and universities,the total population.And then,grey incidence analysis is used to determine the influence degree of the influential factors to higher education scale quantitatively.The results show that among the all influential indicators,the number of colleges and universities,the proportion of the third industry in the GDP,the total population and Engel＇s Coefficient have greater influence to higher education scale and the degree of grey incidence are 0.9397,0.9365,0.9310,0.9258,respectively.

关 键 词：高等教育规模 灰色关联分析 关联度 

分 类 号：G640[文化科学—高等教育学]