通道货运分担率预测的LOGIT模型特性变量选取  

The Special Variable Selection of LOGIT Model of Channel Freight Sharing Rate Forecast

作　　者：陈颖 杨晓[2] 

机构地区：[1]福建省交通规划设计院,福州350004 [2]西南交通大学交通运输与物流学院,成都610031

出　　处：《价值工程》2013年第1期12-13,共2页Value Engineering

摘　　要：文章基于效用函数理论和Logit模型,结合影响通道内各种运输方式选择的影响因素分析,以及各种运输方式的特性,认为通道内影响货运分担率预测的特型变量选取了安全性、快速性、用户成本、方便性、准时性以及货物价值6个特型变量,并分析了各个特性变量的的取值标定方法。Based on utility theory and Logit models, combined with the analysis of channel factor which affecting the various modes of transport selection, and the characteristics of the various modes of transport, the article selected six special variables affecting the variable rate forecast in channel, including security, rapidity, user cost, convenience, timeliness and value of the goods, and analyzed the calibration method of the value of characteristic variables.

关 键 词：通道 货运分担率 LOGIT模型 特型变量 

分 类 号：F252[经济管理—国民经济]