基于指数平滑技术的装备维修备件需求预测  

Requirement Forecast of Equipment Maintenance Parts Based on Exponential Smoothing Method

作　　者：刘晓春[1] 黄爱军[1] 马芳[1] 张永亮[1] 彭江[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国卫星海上测控部,江苏江阴214431

出　　处：《装备环境工程》2012年第6期109-112,共4页Equipment Environmental Engineering

摘　　要：以装备维修备件的需求量预测问题为研究对象,运用指数平滑预测技术,构建了装备维修备件需求量预测模型,并借助Excel环境对某装备维修备件的需求量进行了预测。预测结果表明,该方法为科学预测装备维修备件的需求量提供了一种可行的方法。A method. Excel was provides a scientific requirement forecasting model of equipment maintenance parts was established based on exponential smoothing employed to forecast the equipment maintenance parts requirement. It was concluded that forecasting method and viable approach for the requirement forecasting of equipment maintenance parts.

关 键 词：指数平滑技术 维修备件 需求预测 装备保障 

分 类 号：TJ07[兵器科学与技术—兵器发射理论与技术]