基于层次熵模型的弹道导弹威胁评估  

Ballistic Missile Threat Assessment Based on AHP-Entropy Mode

作　　者：罗亮[1] 刘健[1] 朱永水[2] 

机构地区：[1]空军工程大学防空反导学院,陕西西安710051 [2]徐州空军学院,江苏徐州221000

出　　处：《现代防御技术》2012年第6期76-80,92,共6页Modern Defence Technology

摘　　要：针对传统威胁评估方法以定性评估为主、结果可信度较低的不足,引入定量评估和决策模型,将层次分析法与决策中的熵技术结合,建立层次熵决策模型,由层次分析法确定各指标权重,用熵技术对所得权重进行修正,得到威胁排序结果。结果表明,此方法提高了威胁排序的可信度,对反导作战有一定的指导意义。Traditional methods of threat assessment only provide qualitative assessment and the re- suits lack sufficient reliability. Therefore a method of quantitative assessment and decision model are pro- posed. This method builds an analytic hierarchy process tropy technology. Weights of indices are defined by usin （AHP） entropy mode by combining AHP and en- g AHP and are revised with entropy technology to generate the threat sequences. The sequences are proved more reliable by testing, thus it may be useful in antimissile battles.

关 键 词：弹道导弹 威胁评估 层次熵评估决策模型 

分 类 号：TJ761.3[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程] N945.1[自然科学总论—系统科学]