夏季高温影响因子及高温预报工具的研究  

Influence factors and forecast tools for high temperature in summer

作　　者：蔡立青 蔡赛缄 

机构地区：[1]潮州市气象局,潮州521000

出　　处：《气象水文海洋仪器》2012年第4期33-36,41,共5页Meteorological,Hydrological and Marine Instruments

摘　　要：文章对近50a历史资料进行归纳分析,揭示了潮州高温天气特征,采用先进的统计分析工具SPSS进行因子分析与线性回归计算,建立潮州夏季高温预报方程组,利用VisualBas-ic开发平台,设计了可用于日常业务的高温预报工具。Based on historical data in recent 50years,this paper introduces features of high temperature weather in Chaozhou.Factor analysis and linear regression are carried out by using advanced statistics SPSS.Forecasting equations are also established.By means of Visual Basic development platform,forecast tools used in daily high temperature measurement are designed.

关 键 词：高温预报 因子分析 线性回归 预报工具 

分 类 号：S165.21[农业科学—农业气象学]