基于AHP的大坝防恐安全风险评价方法探讨  

SAFETY RISK ASSESSMENT OF DAM AGAINST TERRORIST ATTACKS BY AHP

作　　者：王妍[1,2] 梁向前[2] 杨译 

机构地区：[1]中国地质大学(北京),北京100083 [2]中国水利水电科学研究院,北京100048 [3]贵州铭豪爆破监理公司,贵阳550001

出　　处：《工程爆破》2012年第4期14-17,共4页Engineering Blasting

基　　金：中国水利水电科学研究院科研专项基金(岩集0907)

摘　　要：根据我国水库大坝的分布及功能特点,将水库大坝的概况、恐怖袭击破坏方式、溃坝后果作为评价水库大坝受袭破坏安全风险评价因素。运用多准则决策的层次分析法(AHP),进行了水库大坝的防恐安全风险评价,得到了影响水库大坝恐怖袭击的各项指标的权重值排序,提出了大坝防恐安全风险评价定量计算公式。最后,通过石砭峪水库大坝工程实例探讨了防恐安全评价方法的可行性。Based on the distribution and function characteristics of the reservoir dams in our country, the overview of dams, destructive ways of terrorist attack, the consequences of dam break were used as factors to evaluation attacked dam safety risk grade. Multi criteria decision of analytic hierarchy process was used for dam in safety risk assessment, the weight value sorting of each index which influenced dam terrorist attack was obtained, and a quantitative calculation formula for against terrorism safety risk assessment was provided. Finally, the method＇s feasibility was discussed by an engineering example of Shibianyu reservoir dam.

关 键 词：水库大坝 防恐安全 层次分析法AHP 风险评价 

分 类 号：TV622[水利工程—水利水电工程] X924.3[环境科学与工程—安全科学]