地方政府竞争与经济增长方式转变:1998—2010——基于中国省级面板数据的经验研究  

Local government competition and the transformation of economic growth pattern: 1998-2010——Empirical study based on China's provincial panel data

作　　者：吴振球[1,2] 王建军[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院经济研究所博士后流动站,北京100836 [2]中南财经政法大学工商管理学院,湖北武汉430073

出　　处：《经济学家》2013年第1期38-47,共10页Economist

基　　金：作者主持的国家社会科学基金青年项目<提高我国居民消费能力长效机制研究>(编号:11CJL014);教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目(编号:10YJC790287)的资助

摘　　要：本文从一般均衡的角度阐述了地方政府竞争影响经济增长方式转变的微观机制。以此为理论基础,使用1998——2010年中国30个省区市的面板数据,以全要素生产率表示经济增长方式,考察地方政府竞争对经济增长方式转变的影响。实证结果显示,中国地方政府竞争对全要素生产率有显著的正向作用,且影响关系存在着显著的滞后效应;地方政府竞争当期、滞后两期、四期对经济增长方式转变的影响较大,滞后一期、三期的影响较小,在任期内呈现出W型特征;地方政府竞争对各省区市经济增长方式转变的影响相同。文章论证了地方政府竞争对经济增长方式转变的重要性,这与现有的研究结论不相同。This paper describes the micro mechanism of the impact of local government competition on the transformation of economic growth pattern from general equilibrium perspective. Based on this theory, we use the panel data of thirty provinces, regions and cities in China from 1998 to 2010, take total factor productivity as economic growth pattern, and examine the impact of local government competition on the transformation of economic growth. The empirical results show that： Chinese local government competition has a significant positive effect on total factor productivity. And there is a significant lag effect. The competition in the current period, lag - two and lag - four periods has greater impact on the transformation of economic growth, while that in the lag - one and lag - three periods has less impact. The impact shows a W shape in any period. Local government competition has the same impact on the transformation of economic growth of 30 provinces, regions and cities. This paper demonstrates the importance of local government competition for the transformation of economic growth, which differs from the conclusions of the existing findings.

关 键 词：地方政府竞争 经济增长方式 全要素生产率 市场竞争 面板数据 

分 类 号：F015[经济管理—政治经济学]