后金融危机时代的东亚货币合作:一种亚洲模式?  

East Asia Monetary Cooperation after the Global Financial Crisis:An Asian Model?

作　　者：曲博[1] 

机构地区：[1]外交学院国际关系研究所

出　　处：《当代亚太》2012年第6期47-63,155-156,共17页Journal of Contemporary Asia-Pacific Studies

基　　金：外交学院"中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金"的资助

摘　　要：自亚洲金融危机爆发以来,东亚国家在过去十多年里不断推动货币合作,已经创建了基于清迈倡议多边化协定的自我管理的地区货币储备池,增强了地区集体抵御金融危机的能力。但是,目前对东亚货币合作现状的评价和前景的预估仍然存在争论。如何界定东亚货币合作的性质,是否存在货币合作的亚洲模式,以及如何评估东亚货币合作,都是需要认真思考的问题。从历史经验来看,货币体系是一个等级体系,因此需要从领导国和追随国关系的角度来理解货币合作的性质、评估其进程。目前的东亚货币合作对领导国与追随国关系的界定并未明确,因此仍然处于初级阶段,而未来的发展前景取决于潜在的领导国与追随国之间共同预期的形成。现有的合作安排有助于建立标准化的谈判程序、促进共同预期形成以及分享信息。Over the ten plus years since the beginning of the Asian Financial Crisis,East Asian countries have continuously promoted monetary coo-peration,and have already established a self-managed regional reserve pool on the basis of the Chiang Mai Initiative Multilateralization agreement,and have enhanced capacity to collectively resist financial crisis.However,at present there are still disputes over the assessment of the present status quo of East Asian monetary cooperation and expectations for its future prospects.Much reflection must be done to answer the following questions:How do we characterize the nature of East Asian monetary cooperation? Is there an East Asian model of monetary cooperation? How do we assess East Asian monetary cooperation? Based on experience,the monetary system is a hierarchical one;as such,we must understand the nature of monetary cooperation and assess its progress incorporating consideration of the relationship between leaders and followers within the regional system.At present,the relationship between leader(s) and followers within the East Asian monetary system has yet to be defined,and as a result the system is still in a period of infancy.Developmental progress will depend on the creation of shared expectations between states which lead and follow in the regional monetary system.The present configuration for cooperation is helpful for establishing standard negotiation procedure,shaping shared expectations and sharing information.

关 键 词：东亚货币合作 清迈倡议多边化 货币合作模式 共同预期 

分 类 号：F823.1[经济管理—财政学]