我国服务出口影响因素的实证分析  

An Empirical Analysis of the Influencing Factors of the Exports of Service in China

作　　者：陈蓉[1] 

机构地区：[1]漳州师范学院经济学系,福建漳州363000

出　　处：《漳州师范学院学报（哲学社会科学版）》2012年第4期44-50,共7页Journal of Zhangzhou Teachers College:Philosophy and Social Sciences

摘　　要：研究我国服务出口的主要影响因素,探寻推动服务出口扩大和结构优化的途径,对于推动我国由贸易大国向贸易强国转变具有重要的现实意义。利用1990-2011年的数据,对服务出口的影响因素进行实证分析,结果表明:劳动力、服务业发展水平和货物贸易对服务出口显著正相关,其中货物贸易对服务出口的影响最大。因此,要推动我国服务出口的发展,应当充分挖掘货物贸易中蕴含的服务出口机会,同时加快服务业的发展和结构优化、加强人力资本积累。The study of mainly affecting factors of the exports of service in China and the exploring of the way of the promotion service trade export expansion and structure optimization have very important practical significance,which contribute to the transformation of China from a large trading nation to a trade power.Based on 1990-2011 data,this paper makes an empirical analysis on the influencing factors of the exports of service in China.The results indicate that labor,the development level of service industry and the trade of goods have significant positive correlation on the export of service and the most significant effect is goods trade on the service trade.To promote the development of the export of service in China,we should give full play to the promotion which goods trade bring to service trade.At the same time,we should accelerate the development of service industry and structure optimization,increase the accumulation of human capital.

关 键 词：服务贸易 出口 VECM模型 

分 类 号：F752.62[经济管理—国际贸易]