基于随机理论的武器系统数量需求及边际效用分析  

Analysis of Quantity Requirement and Its Marginal Utility of Weapon System Based on Random Theory

作　　者：张庆捷 赵瑾[1] 张杰[1] 郑斌 

机构地区：[1]陆军军官学院炮兵系,安徽合肥230031

出　　处：《装备学院学报》2012年第6期115-119,共5页Journal of Equipment Academy

基　　金：部委级资助项目

摘　　要：针对武器系统作战需求中的数量需求问题,提出了一种基于作战过程状态转移的研究思路。根据"侦察—信息处理与决策—火力打击"的一般作战过程,建立了状态转移方程,推导出了数量需求函数的解析表达式,并对其边际效用进行了分析。结果表明:增加武器系统数量和提高武器系统战技性能(tactical and technical characteristics,TTC)对火力打击效能均具有补偿作用,但它们的边际效用是有区分的,分水岭就是该武器系统是否具备精确打击能力。To study the problem of quantity requirement in weapon system operational requirement,an idea based on state transition of operational process is put forward.With the general operational process of ＂reconnaissance-information processing and decision-fire attack＂,the state transition function is built,the analytic expressions of quantity requirement function is deduced and calculated,and the marginal utility is also analyzed.The main conclusion is made as follows,the increased quantity and the improved tactical and technical characteristics（TTC）of weapon system will make up fire efficiency both,but with different marginal utility,and weather this certain weapon system has accurate fire ability or not is regarded as the watershed.

关 键 词：武器系统数量 作战需求 状态转移 边际效用 随机理论 

分 类 号：E917[军事]