泛珠三角地区产业转移趋势与动向识别研究  

Trend Identification of Inter-Regional Industrial Relocation in Pan-Pearl Delta Region

作　　者：蒋永雷[1] 杨忠振[1] 邬珊华[1] 

机构地区：[1]大连海事大学,大连116026

出　　处：《工业技术经济》2012年第12期93-99,共7页Journal of Industrial Technological Economics

基　　金：教育部人文社科基金(项目编号:09YJA790021)

摘　　要：用综合区位商对泛珠三角地区的区际产业转移进行初步识别。对初步识别中发现的具有转移倾向的产业,进一步用产品生命周期理论进行筛选,找出符合区际产业转移特征的产业及具有承接趋势的省份。最后利用计量经济中因果关系检验,对存在区际产业转移关系的省份进行综合区位商变量的因果关系检验。研究结果表明,泛珠三角地区内传统的外向型制造产业已呈现明显的转移趋势和动向;新兴制造业的转移趋势初显,但转移动向尚不明确;同时部分技术型制造业具有跨区转移的可能性。Comprehensive location quotient was applied to preliminary identify the inter-regional industrial relocation in Pan-Pearl Delta Region.Based on the product life cycle theory,the industries with relocating possibility were screened further to get the industries and provinces,which shows the characteristics of China＇s inter-regional industrial relocation and the relocating trends respectively.Finally,in order to test the industrial relocating relationships between the coastal region and the inland provinces,the comprehensive location quotient series were taken to implement casualty test.The results shows：the traditional manufactures present the obvious relocating trends,while the relocating trends of new manufactures just shows up without definite relocating preferences;in addition some technical manufactures owns the possibility of trans-regional relocation.

关 键 词：区际产业转移 区位商 产业生命周期 因果关系 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]