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作 者:郭增建[1] 郭安宁[1] 张炜超[1] 张津[1]
出 处:《国际地震动态》2012年第12期16-23,共8页Recent Developments in World Seismology
基 金:地震行业科研专项:中国历史地震档案考证研究和利用;项目编号:201208001
摘 要:科氏力余震效应是预测最强余震的方法之一。它对地震救灾很重要,但有争议。本文回答了有关的争议问题。另外,日本9.0级大震后,我们按科氏力余震效应预测它的最大余震不会超过8级。现已过半年,最大余震只有7.7级。The aftershock effect of Corioli's force is one of the methods for predicting the largest aftershock. It is important for assisting earthquake disaster. But there is different opinion on this issue. The objection and our corresponding comments are discussed in this paper. In addition, according to the aftershock effect of Corioli's force, we have predicted that the largest aftershock of the 2011 Japanese earthquake Mg. 0 will not exceed the magni- tude M8. Up to present, our prediction is proved to be correct since its largest aftershock is magnitude M7. 7.
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