基于技术分类视角的中国-东盟出口结构相似度研究  

Study on the Similarity of Export Structure between China and ASEAN Based on Technical Classification

作　　者：谢锐[1,2] 肖皓[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]湖南大学两型社会创新基地 [2]湖南大学经济与贸易学院,湖南长沙410079

出　　处：《国际经贸探索》2013年第1期80-89,共10页International Economics and Trade Research

基　　金：博士后科学基金面上项目(2012M510057);湖南省社科基金项目(11JD13);湖南大学985工程"两型社会创新基地"项目

摘　　要：文章把主要东盟六国划分为新加坡、亚洲四小虎和越南三个层次,把出口产品按技术水平划分为五个层次分类计算中国与新加坡、亚洲四小虎和越南在美日市场的总体和按技术分类的出口结构相似度,计算结果表明:中国与东盟亚洲四小虎在美国和日本市场竞争最为激烈,并呈现各层次技术分类产品全面竞争的特征;中国与越南总体竞争在日本市场较为激烈,在美国市场竞争逐步变强,且竞争程度最高的集中在初级产品和低技术产品;中国与新加坡在美国市场的竞争近年来一直在减弱,已经由竞争程度较高转变为较低,在日本市场上出口结构相似度一直在0.3左右徘徊,竞争程度较为平缓,但在高技术产品方面竞争一直较为激烈。This paper divides the six main countries of ASEAN into three levels, which are Singapore, the Asian ＂four tigers＂ and Vietnam, and divides their export products into five levels based on technical levels to separately calculate the total amount of China, Singapore, the ＂four tigers＂ and Vietnam in US-Japan market, and the similarity of export structure based on technique categories. The results show that： the competition between China and the ＂four tigers＂ is the most intense in US-Japan market, and shows the characteristics of full competition at all levels of products classified according to technical classification; the competition between China and Vietnam is more intense in the Japanese market, and gradually becomes stronger in the U.S. market, with the highest level of competition concentrated in primary and low-tech products; the competition between China and Singapore in the U.S. market has been weakened in recent years from the higher degree of competition into the lower one. However, in the Japanese market, the similarity of export structure between China and Singapore has been hovering around 0.3, and the degree of competition is gentle, but the competition in the high-tech products is more intense.

关 键 词：技术分类 中国-东盟 出口相似度 竞争与互补 

分 类 号：F207[经济管理—国民经济]