中国能源消耗与废气排放关系研究  

Research on the Relationship Between Energy Consumption and Exhaust Gas Emission in China

作　　者：孙赵勇[1,2] 史耀波[1] 于睿[1] 

机构地区：[1]西安理工大学经济与管理学院,陕西西安710054 [2]西北大学经济管理学院,陕西西安710127

出　　处：《西安理工大学学报》2012年第4期494-499,共6页Journal of Xi'an University of Technology

基　　金：陕西省软科学研究基金资助项目(2011KRM02;2010KRZ04);西安市软科学研究基金资助项目(HJ1104-1);陕西省青年科技新星基金资助项目(2012KJXX-36);中国博士后第51批基金面上项目(2012M512018);西安理工大学博士基金资助项目(107-210916;107-211001)

摘　　要：采用LMDI法分析了影响我国能源消耗量和二氧化碳排放的因素,结果显示工业产出效应是导致我国能源消耗量和二氧化碳排放增长的主要因素,工业结构调整没有明显影响能源消耗量的变化;节能技术的应用大大降低了能源的消耗,但环保技术没有广泛使用,产业在区域的调整并未使得二氧化碳的排放得以降低;基于向量误差修正模型研究了工业产出、能源消耗、废气排放之间的关系;研究显示废气排放量增长率呈现波动特点的多少主要由生产过程中的能源决定,能源的消耗量具有一定的稳定性。LMDI method is adopted in this paper to analyze the factors affecting energy consumption and CO2 emissions in our county.The results indicate that industrial output effects are the main factors leading to the growth in energy consumption and CO2 emissions in our country,while the industrial structure adjustment cannot obviously affect the changes in energy consumption;the application of energy-saving technology had greatly reduced energy consumption,but the environmental protection technology cannot be widely used so that industry in the regional adjustment cannot decrease CO2 emissions.Accordingly,based on vector error correction model,the relationships among industrial output,energy consumption and exhaust gas emissions are studied in this paper.Accordingly,research results have supported the above conclusions.The growth rate in exhaust gas emissions appears to have the fluctuating characteristics determined by the energy in production process so that energy consumption is of a certain stability.

关 键 词：能源强度 废气排放 对数平均指数法 向量误差修正模型 

分 类 号：F426[经济管理—产业经济]