城市化趋势下西北地区土地变化的人文驱动力分析  

Analysis of Land Change in Orthwest Area from Human Driving Force Based Urbanization

作　　者：吕彩云 陈宾[2] 

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨工业大学威海思政部,山东威海264209 [2]山东大学威海分校马列部,山东威海264209

出　　处：《城市发展研究》2012年第12期38-42,共5页Urban Development Studies

基　　金：黑龙江省哲学社会科学研究规划项目(项目号11D087)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：本论文把城市化作为背景研究地区耕地数量变化特征,采用主成分分析结合灰色关联分析的方法,以西北地区五市于1993年到2011年之间在耕地面积的变化、人口相关数据的进行了验证与分析。结果表明:近20年,西北地区五市耕地数量变化经历了"增加—急剧减少—急剧增加—缓慢减少—不断增加"的波动式变化过程;经济增长与耕地非农化存在近似"kuznets"曲线型关系;人文驱动力包括人口、社会经济、科技政策等因素,对于城市化条件下的地区耕地数量变化作用显著。最后,结合目前我国西北地区发展的现实状况,对于如何保护西北地区的土地资源从人文、政策、法律等方面提出了相应的一些对策措施,以资借鉴。The papers urbanization number of as background research areas farmland variation using principal component analysis method combined gray relational analysis,changes in cultivated area between 1993 to 2011,the five cities of the Northwest Territories,population data were verification and analysis.The results show that： nearly 20 years,changes in the amount of cultivated land of five cities of the Northwest experienced increased-dramatically reduce-a sharp increase-slowly decreasing-increasing ＂the fluctuations style change;＂kuznets＂Economic Growth and Farmland Conversion exist approximate curve type relationship;human driving forces include factors such as population,socio-economic,scientific and technological policy,a significant role for the area of cultivated land quantity change in the conditions of urbanization.Finally,combine with the reality of the development of Northwest China,and put forward some corresponding countermeasures,learning from them how to protect the land resources of the Northwest from the humanities,policy,legal and other aspects.

关 键 词：西北地区 城市化 耕地 人文驱动力 

分 类 号：K901[历史地理—人文地理学]