加工贸易进口、前向链接与工业行业生产率  

Processing Trade Import,Forward Linkage and Industrial Productivity:An Study based on Non-competitive Input-output Table

作　　者：王有鑫[1] 赵雅婧[1] 

机构地区：[1]南开大学经济学院

出　　处：《世界经济研究》2013年第1期41-46,88,共6页World Economy Studies

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目"FDI;金融发展与全球经济平衡增长"(项目编号:10JJD790016);国家自然科学基金青年项目"中国企业低价出口之谜:基于企业边际成本加成率的研究"(项目编号:71203104);国家自然科学基金青年项目"社会关系对民营企业出口行为的影响机制:基于企业间关系与政企关系的研究"(项目编号:71103153)资助

摘　　要：本文通过利用非竞争型投入产出表,从水平和前向链接角度对加工贸易进口的技术溢出效应进行了研究。结果发现,与一般贸易进口的水平溢出效应为负不同,加工贸易进口的水平溢出效应为正,而且加工贸易进口的前向溢出效应远远高于一般贸易。同时发现,行业吸收能力越强加工贸易进口的技术溢出效应越明显;行业内外资比重越高越有利于加工贸易进口的水平技术溢出,但对前向技术溢出不利。另外,按贸易方式把加工贸易划分为来料加工和进料加工两类进行稳健性检验,也得到了水平和前向链接对技术溢出有利的结论,但不同的现金流要求和风险承受能力使进料加工的水平溢出更明显,来料加工的前向溢出更明显。Through constructing the non-competitive input-output table,this paper conducts an empirical research on the perspective of horizontal and forward linkage to investigate the technology spillover effect of processing trade import products.The paper comes to the conclusion that the horizontal effect of processing trade is positive which is different from general trade,and its forward spillover is remarkable higher than general trade.And the stronger the industries′ absorption ability is,the more obvious technology spillover is.And the entry of FDI in industries is good for processing trade import products′ horizontal spillover,but bad for the forward spillover.In addition,divided processing trade into two types,processing on order and feed processing,in order to do the robust test,the finding is that horizontal and forward linkage are both good for the technology spillover.But owing to different cash flow and risk bearing capacity,feed processing trade has a higher horizontal spillover,while processing on order has a higher forward spillover.

关 键 词：加工贸易进口 前向链接 非竞争型投入产出表 全要素生产率 

分 类 号：F752.61[经济管理—国际贸易] F224[经济管理—产业经济]