财政支农政策对农业经济增长的影响效应研究  

The Effect of the Financial Support Policy on Agricultural Economy

作　　者：余海鹏[1] 范晔[2] 

机构地区：[1]扬州大学商学院,江苏扬州225009 [2]广西大学商学院,广西南宁530004

出　　处：《扬州大学学报（人文社会科学版）》2012年第6期23-30,共8页Journal of Yangzhou University(Humanities and Social Sciences Edition)

摘　　要：应用偏最小二乘回归(partial least squares regression)建模法对财政支农政策的相对有效性及影响效应进行实证分析,研究结果表明,财政支农政策相对金融机构农业贷款对农业发展具有更好的解释能力,贡献度更大,但不如农村固定资产投资的贡献度;从支农资金的构成要素上看,尽管农业科技三项费用有更高的相对弹性,但对农业发展综合贡献度最大的是支援农业生产支出和农林水利气象等部门的事业费。An empirical study was conducted on the validity and effect of the financial support policy directed at agriculture.The partial least squares regression model construction was employed in this study.It is found that the financial support policy has contributed more to the agricultural development than the agricultural loans of financial institutions,but less than the fixed asset investment in rural areas.In terms of the components of the agricultural funds,the part covering the agricultural production expenditures and the operating expenses in the agriculture,forestry,water conservancy and meteorological departments has made the most comprehensive contribution to agricultural development.

关 键 词：财政政策 农业产出 影响效应 偏最小二乘回归 

分 类 号：F304.4[经济管理—产业经济]