基于科研过程的科研风险形成规律与防范策略  

The Formation Law and Prevention Strategies for Research Risk Based on Scientific Research Process

作　　者：周文泳[1] 李娜[1] 

机构地区：[1]同济大学经济与管理学院,上海200092

出　　处：《科技进步与对策》2013年第1期23-28,共6页Science & Technology Progress and Policy

基　　金：国家哲学社会科学基金项目(07CJY007)

摘　　要：科学研究过程存在诸多不确定因素,容易引发达不到预期效果的科研风险。旨在揭示科研过程的不确定性与科研风险的相互关系。在分析科研风险本质特征及其与科研过程相互关系的基础上,论述了科研过程中科研风险的类型及其形成机理,构建了反映科研过程和科研风险相互关系的理论模型。通过对来自15所985高校教师的157份有效调查问卷的实证分析表明:科研选题、学术构思、方案设计、科研实施、知识表达、成果转化等因素直接正向影响科研风险,而硬件支持和信息服务通过科研实施过程间接影响科研风险。结合实证分析结果,提出了基于科研过程的科研风险防范对策。研究成果揭示了源自于科研过程的科研风险形成规律,为研究机构识别与防范科研风险提供了理论依据和实践基础。There are many uncertainties in the process of scientific research,which tends to result in research risks.This paper aims to reveal the relationship between research risk and the uncertainty of research process.It reviews the concepts of risk,scientific research,and research process and discusses the formation law of research risk and its classification.A theory model of the relationship between research process and research risk is established.The empirical research which is built on the information from chosen teachers of 15 universities considers the impact on research risk by research process.The analytical results indicate that topic selecting,research design,research implementation and knowledge transformation all have a direct impact on scientific research while information services and hardware support make indirect effects.Finally,suggestions for risk prevention are discussed.

关 键 词：科研风险 科研过程 科研风险防范 

分 类 号：G31[文化科学]