基于生物免疫学理论的海域生态承载力综合测度研究——以辽宁省为例  

General Measurement of Marine Ecological Carrying Capacity and Biological Immunology :A Case Study in Liaoning Province

作　　者：狄乾斌[1] 吴佳璐[1] 张洁[1] 

机构地区：[1]辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展研究中心,大连116029

出　　处：《资源科学》2013年第1期21-29,共9页Resources Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(编号:41101571);教育部人文社会科学青年基金项目(10YJC790045)

摘　　要：本研究根据海洋生态承载力对海洋生态系统健康的作用与人体免疫力对人体健康的维系作用的相似性,利用生物免疫学原理,构建了辽宁省海域生态承载状态综合测度指标体系,并进行了辽宁省海域2000年-2009年10年间的综合测度研究。结果表明:辽宁省海域自然承载力指数和承载力潜力指数整体分别呈下降和上升趋势,但是资源环境承载力总体却是波动下降趋势;人口与社会经济发展压力指数在2000年-2005年间波动较小,2006年呈现大幅度上升,之后稍有下降,总体上后期比前期增长较多。近几年来,辽宁省海域资源环境承载力的可持续发展状态较差,需要在海洋产业结构调整、污染治理和海洋科研方面加大力度。Research on carrying capacity, regarded as the basis for the sustainable development of resources and the environment, is gaining more and more attention. With the growing popularity of marine issues, scholars are following the field of marine carrying capacity closely. Studies on marine carrying capacity are instrumental in planning economic development of coastal regions; however, most research findings are quantitative rather than qualitative. Because of the role of marine ecological carrying capacity in marine ecosystems is similar to the role of the human immune system in human health, we introduce a model of biological immunology using the Liaoning marine system as a case study. Numerical models such as entropy, discriminant models of sustainable development and fuzzy membership functions were used to calculate related index values. Results show that from 2000-2009 the natural carrying capacity index increased and the potential capacity index decreased, while overall carrying capacity experienced a floating decline. From 2000-2005 the pressure index of population and economic development was relatively stable, but after 2006 it encountered a sharp rise and then declined slightly with a general rise. Rates of change between marine resources and environmental carrying capacity and economic and social development pressures showed that Liaoning marine ecological carrying capacity does not have a favorable sustainable development state （except in the years 2001, 2003 and 2005）; for four consecutive years （2006-2009） the sustainable development state of the marine ecosystem was unfavorable. Liaoning governments at all levels developed marine protection plans during the Eleventh Five-Year Plan period, but the decline in marine ecological carrying capacity highlights real-world contradictions. Under the temptation of GDP growth and short-term interests, many people involved in marine industries exploited marine resources at the cost of marine environment integrity. To sustainably use marine resources,

关 键 词：生物免疫学 海域生态承载力 综合测度 辽宁省 

分 类 号：X826[环境科学与工程—环境工程]