基于流量与流质变化的我国东部地区入境旅游成长分析——以山东省为例  

Research on Inbound Tourism Growth of the Eastern China Based on Change of Tourism Flow and Quality——Case Study of Shandong Province

作　　者：张岩君[1] 马耀峰[1] 胡巧娟[1] 

机构地区：[1]陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院,西安710062

出　　处：《河南科学》2012年第12期1806-1811,共6页Henan Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(40771058);教育部人文社会科学规划基金项目(10YJA790243)

摘　　要：通过对流质概念的引入梳理和细化,在搜集和整理1978—2010年山东省入境旅游相关数据的基础上,对30余年来山东省入境旅游流的流量和流质进行了年际变化分析.结果发现:①山东省入境旅游流流质由不稳定趋向于稳定,并最终保持在0.8的平均水平,为普低质入境旅游流;②山东省入境旅游流流量增速快且波动幅度小,即山东省入境旅游成长迅速,旅游规模发展理想;③总体上讲,山东省入境旅游成长是不可逆的(特殊年份除外),呈现阶梯状递进过程,以4年为一个发展小周期.With the introduction and refining of the concept tourism flow quality, based on the collected data of Shandong inbound tourism flow data from 1978 to 2010, the paper analyzed the yearly change of the tourism flow quantity and quality of Shandong inbound tourism in the last 30 years. Results are as follows： ①Tourism flow quality of Shandong inbound tourism grows to be more stable and finally keeps the level of 0.8 in average belonging to the generally low inbound tourism flow quality. ②Quantity of $handong inbound tourism flow grows fast with a small fluctuation range, which means that the scale development is quite optimistic. ③In general, growth of Shandong Province inbound tourism is irreversible （special years excepted） and the growth shows a stepped progressive process with a four-years cycle.

关 键 词：入境旅游流 流质 山东省 改革开放 

分 类 号：F590[经济管理—旅游管理]