基于专家评判的圩区防洪减灾能力评估方法研究  

Flood Control and Disaster Reduction Ability Evaluation of Polder Area Based on Expert Judgment

作　　者：王萱[1,2] 施高萍[3] 

机构地区：[1]合肥工业大学,安徽合肥230009 [2]浙江水利科技推广中心,浙江杭州310018 [3]浙江水利水电专科学校,浙江杭州310018

出　　处：《浙江水利水电专科学校学报》2012年第4期30-32,44,共4页Journal of Zhejiang Water Conservancy and Hydropower College

基　　金：2012年度浙江省软科学研究计划基金资助项目(2012C25093);2012年度浙江省水利厅科技基金资助项目(RB1201)

摘　　要：防洪减灾能力的评价问题是一个涉及多目标、多准则的综合评价问题.从圩区和圩区内小(I)型及以上泵站两者软硬件设施出发,建立了带权重的圩区防洪减灾能力评价的三级指标体系,提出了基于专家评判的圩区防洪减灾能力评估方法,对圩区的防洪减灾能力作出定量评估和定性评估.以浙江省某圩区为例,给出了具体的评估过程.How to evaluate the flood control and disaster reduction capacity is in relation to multi-index and criteria. A weighted index system which has 3 levels is established based on the software and hardware of the polder areas and pump stations. An evaluation method of flood control and disaster reduction capacity is proposed based on expert judgment, which can get the results of quantitative evaluation and qualitative evaluation. The proposed methodology demonstrates the effec- tiveness of polder area evaluation in Zhejiang.

关 键 词：圩区 防洪减灾能力 指标体系 综合评价 

分 类 号：TV122.1[水利工程—水文学及水资源]