贸易自由化政策与产业经济安全研究  

A theoretical Study on Trade Integration policies and Economic Security

作　　者：周新苗[1] 冷军[1] 

机构地区：[1]宁波大学商学院,315211

出　　处：《上海经济研究》2013年第1期107-121,共15页Shanghai Journal of Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金"中国对外贸易发展与产业安全管理及政策取向研究"(71073086)资助

摘　　要：本文通过理论模型分析了不同发达程度国家间的贸易自由化政策对产业经济安全的影响。文中选取的代表产业经济安全的指标为:非单一产品的产业集聚规模,经济增长率和社会福利状况。结论发现影响出口和进口成本的贸易自由化过程主要取决于发达国家及发展中国家具体采取的贸易政策:当自由化进程中的贸易政策使得更多种类的出口生产企业集聚于发达国家,那么两国的经济增长率和社会福利都会得到改善,而自由化政策若使得更多的生产企业集聚于发展中国家,则整个社会的经济增长率将下降,但发展中国家的福利会得到改善,同时与发达国家的贫富差距会缩小。The aim of this paper to analyze, through a theoretical model, the effects that the trade integration of two countries may have on three key economic security indicators： industrial location, growth and welfare. The conclusions reached finally depend both on whether the import or the export costs are affected by the trade policies on which the integration process is based and on whether the developed or the developing country introduces them. In general, when integration leads to an increase of industrial concentration in the developed country, the growth rate increases and welfare improves in both countries. If integration means that industry moves to the developing country, the growth rate decreases; in spite of this, in this case the developing country can also improve its welfare.

关 键 词：贸易自由化 经济安全 产业集聚 经济增长 福利 

分 类 号：F741.2[经济管理—国际贸易]