中国环境规制与污染避难所区域效应——以大宗农产品为例  

China’s Environmental Regulation and Pollution Haven Regional Effect——An Example of Staple Agricultural Products

作　　者：彭可茂[1] 席利卿[2] 彭开丽[3] 

机构地区：[1]华南理工大学经济与贸易学院 [2]仲恺农业工程学院经济与贸易学院 [3]华中农业大学土地管理学院

出　　处：《南开经济研究》2012年第4期68-96,共29页Nankai Economic Studies

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"我国农业环境质量对农产品国际竞争力的影响及对策研究"(11CJY074);国家社会科学基金项目"西南民族地区农户调适行为与农业抗灾能力提升研究"(11CJY055);国家自然科学基金项目"福利均衡目标下农地城市流转的福利效应与公共选择研究"(71003041);教育部基金项目"务农人口老龄化背景下中国粮食增产机制研究:基于新古典框架下农户行为的视角"(11YJC790211);华南理工大学中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目"我国农产品国际环境竞争力研究:农业生产环境对产品竞争力的影响及提升途径"(x2jmD2117960)

摘　　要：本文利用综合指数方法构建中国农业环境规制强度相对水平指标,援引2000—2011年31个地区的农业相关数据,通过计量模型检验国内各地区的农业环境规制相对差异对主要农业部门投资强度的影响程度,并通过稳健性检验验证了研究结论。结果发现:国内大宗农产品的生产都存在长期递增的稳健的污染避难所效应,饲养业的污染避难所效应强于种植业,且主要部门的效应强弱依次为:肉类产品>奶类产品>蔬菜>油料>糖料。最后在分地区实证的基础上,本文提出了促进各产业未来发展的区域策略。With the growing concern of the international community on environmental is- sues, the contradiction between to improve environmental quality and to increase agricul- tural output has become increasingly prominent in China. This paper built Chinese agricul- tural environmental regulation intensity level indicators by composite index method, quoted agricultural input-output data of 31 regions during the years of 2000-2011, and tested the effect of relative differences in environmental regulation of regional agricultural environ- ment on investment strength in major agricultural sectors via econometric model. The results show that it exists steady long-term incremental pollution haven effect in domestic staple agricultural production, and pollution haven effect of feeding is much stronger than that of planting, also the order of main sectors＇ effect strength is Meat, dairy, vegetable, oil and sugar in turn. Finally, on the sub-regional empirical basis, this paper proposed regional strategies to promote the future development of various sectors.

关 键 词：环境规制 污染避难所效应 大宗农产品 

分 类 号：F323.22[经济管理—产业经济] F224