产业结构变迁对经济增长的影响研究——以福建省为例  

The Impact of Industrial Structure Improvement On Fujian's Economic Growth

作　　者：陈宇[1] 赖小琼[1] 

机构地区：[1]厦门大学经济学院,福建厦门361005

出　　处：《福建师范大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2013年第1期20-27,共8页Journal of Fujian Normal University:Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition

基　　金：<海峡西岸经济区发展研究报告>阶段性成果;"中央高校基本科研业务费"(项目编号:2011231042);"教育部哲学社会科学发展报告建设(培育)项目"(项目编号:11JBGP006)资助

摘　　要：本文以1952-2011年作为研究的时间序列,就福建经济增长与产业结构变迁之间的关系作深入的分析,研究表明:(1)从"量"上来看,产业结构变迁对福建经济增长起着积极的促进作用。第二产业尤其是工业的发展与壮大是改革开放以来福建经济快速增长的主要支撑。然而,分组回归结果同时反映出这样的事实,即福建省第一产业和第三产业对经济增长的边际拉动作用要大于第二产业。基于此,在接下来的经济工作中,应高度重视省内"三农"建设和现代服务业的发展。(2)从"质"上来看,产业结构变迁是影响福建省内劳动生产率的主导因素。但由于产业结构存在要素资源"反配置"和"同质化"等问题,以过度投资为突出特征的"重化工业化"浪潮可能对福建经济未来的稳健发展形成严重威胁。针对以上问题,本文在第五部分给出了相关政策建议。In this paper, we would like to engage in an in-depth study on the relationship between Fujian＇s economic growth and its industrial structure improvement during the period between 1952 and 2011. Based on the analysis, we have some conclusions as follows. Firstly, the reason why Fujian enjoys an eco- nomic success since the reform and opening up is that its secondary industry has been experiencing a rapid de- velopment until now. However, group regression results show that the primary and the third industry in Fujian are now playing a stronger marginal role. Therefore, the government should give a higher attention to the per- fect of the conditions of agriculture, countryside and farmers as well as the development of modern service sec- tor. Secondly, Industrial structure change is also the dominant factor lifting Fujian＇s labor productivity. Un- fortunately, problems such as ＂reverse configuration＂ of resources and homogenization of industries between cities are now giving rise to the zeal of excessive investment and heavy industrialization, which might eventual- ly prove to be a serious threat to Fujian＇s economic development in future. In the end, we give some relevant policy suggestions on how to solve the problems of industrial structure.

关 键 词：经济增长 产业结构变迁 福建省 

分 类 号：F062.9[经济管理—政治经济学]