武广铁路客运专线运营初期运量分析  

Analysis of Initial Traffic Volume of Wuhan-Guangzhou Passenger Dedicated Line

作　　者：任俊桦[1] 任民[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院研究生院,北京100049 [2]铁道部经济规划研究院,北京100038

出　　处：《铁道工程学报》2013年第1期115-119,共5页Journal of Railway Engineering Society

基　　金：2011年铁道部科研开发课题(J2011Z020)

摘　　要：研究目的:以武广铁路客运专线为例,对铁路客运专线运营初期运量结构进行了分析,并对它的运营绩效进行了评价,目的在于对铁路客运专线运营初期的运量结构和水平有所认识,并促使运营部门有针对性的开展客运专线运输的组织、协调和市场营销工作。研究结论:结果显示,武广铁路客运专线运营初期运量结构具有岳阳以北各区段诱增运量大于转移运量,岳阳以南各区段转移运量大于诱增运量的特点。虽然不同区段客座上座率在36.37%～80.01%之间,但承担的铁路地方运量、设计能力利用有效性都不高。指出,高速铁路是公共资源,在运营初期旅客上座率和能力利用有效率还很低的情况下,政府应将高铁客运看作公益事业给予适当补贴,促使高铁运营部门降低票价,最大限度释放高铁客运能力,发挥其作用,使普通老百姓也能享受得起高铁快捷的出行服务。Research purposes： The initial traffic volume composition of the Wuhan - Guangzhou Passenger Dedicated Line is analyzed and its operational efficiency is evaluated for the purpose of knowing the initial traffic volume and its composition of passenger dedicated line to urge the operator doing the better works of the transportation organization, transportation coordination and marketing. Research conclusions：The result shows the initial traffic volume composition of the Wuhan - Guangzhou Passenger Dedicated Line possesses the characteristics that the induced traffic volume is bigger than the lost traffic volume in the north areas to Yueyang while the lost traffic volume is bigger than the induced traffic volume in south areas to Yueyang. Though the occupancy rate of train is from 36.37% to 80.01% in the different areas, but the completed local railway passenger traffic volume and the utilization rate are low. It is proposed that in this case, the government should regard the high- speed railway as the public welfare undertaking and give the appropriate subsidy to the railway to assist the operator reducing the price of train ticket for enhancing the occupancy rate and giving the play to the high - speed railway, so that the ordinary people can afford and enjoy the efficient travel services of the high - speed railway.

关 键 词：高速铁路 转移运量 诱增运量 趋势运量 运营绩效 客座利用率 能力利用有效率 

分 类 号：U294.13[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]