河西走廊中部山丹县农地规模经营意愿及其影响因素研究  

Households' willingness and its determinants on the scale land management in Shandan County in middle Hexi Corridor

作　　者：杨倩倩[1] 陈英[1] 金生霞[1] 赵佳琪[1] 

机构地区：[1]甘肃农业大学,资源与环境学院,甘肃兰州730070

出　　处：《干旱区地理》2012年第6期1004-1011,共8页Arid Land Geography

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(07JA630056)

摘　　要：农地规模经营是解决三农问题的有效途径。利用河西走廊216户农户的调查数据,构建了Binary Logistic回归模型,分析农户的土地规模经营意愿及其影响因素。研究表明:36.57%的农户有土地规模经营意愿,31.48%的农户希望缩小规模,25.93%的农户保持不变;农业经营者妇女化和老龄化、较高的非农收入比例弱化了规模经营意愿;优惠政策有助于推进规模经营;较高的机械化水平和科技水平是技术基础。At present large-scale land management becomes one of the most effective ways of resolving agriculture problems in China, Chinese farmers in different areas also have their own willingness on this issue. Also, there are some new breakthroughs both on rural land circulation and large-scale land management in Shandan county, in the middle of Hexi Corridor. They have made a great progress in the field. Then in this paper, we will do a basic re- search on their large-scale land management. In order to carry out l^ge-scale land management in the future, we need to acknowledge peasant＇s willingness and influencing factors at first. We have searched for a large number of documents and thesis in this fleld, read them carefully. After have an original knowledge on this issue, we visit the local farmers and government, talk to them, discuss with them, and try our best to make quite a lot of useful ques- tionnaire investigations papers. Finally 216 set of effective questionnaire papers have been selected, which come from eight villages and towns large-scale planting households and common farmers in Shandan County. The results of peasant＇s willingness on large-scale land management as follows： seventy-nine households look forward to enlarge land scale, it holds up about 36.57%. sixty-eight households hope to decrease land scale, it holds up about 31. 48%. Fifty-six households are willing to keep current scale, it holds up about 25.93%. The rest have no idea a- bout it. Why do they make such different decisions？ In order to explore the reasons, we do further research using qualitative and quantitative analysis of influencing factors mainly includes ： peasant＇s personal details, family condi- tions, technical training, government policy and so on. Binary Logistic model is widely used in the area of analy- zing personal willingness and their influence factors. Based on the 216 set of effective date, a Binary Logistic model is set up to do further quantitative analysis to explain it accurately. We choose ten factors

关 键 词：农地规模经营 农户意愿 影响因素 Binary LOGISTIC回归模型 

分 类 号：F301.11[经济管理—产业经济]