近10年来山东省区域经济发展差异时空演变及驱动力分析  

Dynamics of Temporal-spatial Pattern of Economic Differences and Driving Forces in Shandong Province in the Past 10 Years

作　　者：赵明华[1] 郑元文[1] 

机构地区：[1]山东师范大学人口.资源与环境学院,中国山东济南250014

出　　处：《经济地理》2013年第1期79-85,共7页Economic Geography

基　　金：山东省自然科学基金项目(Y2007E04);山东省社会科学规划重点项目(08BJGJ05)

摘　　要：以山东省17地市为研究对象,构建经济发展水平评价指标体系,运用熵权TOPSIS信息熵法确定指标权重,利用2000、2005和2010年的数据,计算出山东省17地市当年的经济发展水平综合得分。在此基础上,运用ESDA法进行空间集聚性和差异性分析。结果表明:10年来山东经济发展水平差异在拉大,处于非均衡的空间分布状态,表现出初步的"俱乐部趋同"现象;青岛、济南两热点区的经济核心地位明显,济青高速和胶济线对沿线地区发展有很强的带动作用,鲁西地区经济仍处于低值区,山东省域经济发展水平边缘性特征明显;各时段区域发展战略是影响山东省域经济发展差异时空演变的重要驱动力。Taking case of the seventeen cities of Shandong Province, based on the construction of indicator system for evaluating synthetic economic development level, the synthetic economic development levels of the cities are evaluated and compared in 2000, 2005 and 2010 by the entropy weighted technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution method （TOPSIS）. Then, the feature of spatial clustering and discrepancy of synthetic economic development are discussed by Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis method （ESDA）. Results show that： （1）regional economic discrepancy of Shandong is becoming more remarkable and is in non-equilibrium spatial distribution state, in addition, the club convergence is existing in Shandong. （2） The two hotspots, Qingdao and Jinan, are the core districts of Shandong Province, while the west is still on the low level. It sheds light on that the Jiqing highway and Jiaoji railway are playing an important role in driving the economic development of districts along the lines. The characteristics of marginalization is significant in the evolution. （3）The regional development strategy is an important driving force which can affect the evolvement of temnoral-snatial nattern of economic differences in Shandong Province.

关 键 词：经济差异 时空演变 驱动力 ESDA 山东省 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]