鱼雷武器效能评估建模与仿真  

Modeling and Simulation of Effectiveness Evaluation of Torpedo Weapon Based on Readiness Grade Conversion Operations

作　　者：魏勇[1] 李伟[1] 魏志强[2] 

机构地区：[1]海军潜艇学院导弹兵器系 [2]92330部队

出　　处：《计算机仿真》2013年第2期13-16,共4页Computer Simulation

基　　金：军内科研项目(2010317)

摘　　要：研究鱼雷武器效能优化评估问题,为提高鱼雷武器作战装备效能评估,针对鱼雷武器评价指标复杂且现有效能评估无法体现时间与效能指标的动态关系,根据鱼雷武器储存和使用的特点,提出了鱼雷准备时间和准备条数的储存使用可用度、装载可靠度、任务可靠度等新的效能指标,并建立了效能指标数学模型和仿真统计模型。根据离散事件动态仿真原理,利用Monte-Carlo法、离散事件仿真、数理统计等理论建立了一种鱼雷武器系统参数和规则参数的综合仿真模型,并结合实例进行了仿真。结果表明此模型不仅能定量仿真鱼雷武器的效能,还能进行敏感性分析,对于评估长期贮存的鱼雷武器作战效能有较高的参考价值。Current effectiveness evaluation is unable to sufficiently display the relation between time and complicated effectiveness indexes of torpedo. Some new evaluation indexes, including storage operational availability, eharge reliability, mission reliability, were advanced based on the preparative time and number of torpedo. Mathematical models and statistical models of effectiveness were set up during the technology preparation period. A model was set up based on the system parameters and regulation parameters applying the theory of Monte - Carlo sampling, diserete event simulation and mathematical statistical. The results of its application show that the model can not only simulate effectiveness of torpedo weapon, but also analyse sensitivity and offer auxiliary decision - making during the technology preparation period.

关 键 词：鱼雷武器 效能评估 任务可靠度 建模与仿真 

分 类 号：TJ6[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程]