世界石油价格波动的影响因素浅析  

An Analysis of the Influencing Factors of the World's Oil Price Fluctuation

作　　者：刘颖[1] 

机构地区：[1]乐山师范学院旅游与经济管理学院,四川乐山614000

出　　处：《价格月刊》2013年第2期1-4,共4页

基　　金：乐山师范学院青年教师科研启动项目"经济周期对世界石油价格波动的影响研究(课题编号:S1059)"的阶段性研究成果

摘　　要：石油作为一种不可再生的基础能源和化工材料,是现代工业生产最基本的原材料和经济发展的生命线,其生产和供应直接关系到国民经济的正常运行与人民群众的生活质量。目前国际石油市场上,石油价格呈现出总体不断攀升、走势极不稳定的暴涨暴跌局面。在此背景下,分析影响石油价格的各种因素,以期对未来的国际油价进行科学的预测,这对国家制定石油贸易策略、参与石油期货交易和企业科学决策都有着重要的理论指导意义。As a non-renewable basic energy and chemical material, oil is one of the most basic raw materials of modem industrial production and the lifeline of economical development, and its production and supply are concerning the normal op- eration of national economy and people＇s quality of life directly. In current international oil market, generally the oil prices are increasing constantly, but the trend is unstable with prices soaring and slumping. Under this background, the paper analyzes various factors affecting the price of oil,in an attempt to do a scientific prediction of future international oil prices, which has an important theoretical significance for the country to formulate oil trade strategies, to enter into oil futures trading and for the enterprises＂ to make scientific decision.

关 键 词：石油价格影响因素 周期性 波动 

分 类 号：F726[经济管理—产业经济]