基于评分法与模糊理论的燃气管道风险评价  

Risk Assessment of Gas Pipeline Based on Score Method and Fuzzy Theory

作　　者：石磊明[1] 刘蓉[1] 孙健民[2] 雷素敏[2] 

机构地区：[1]北京建筑工程学院,北京100044 [2]北京市燃气集团有限责任公司,北京100035

出　　处：《煤气与热力》2013年第2期37-40,共4页Gas & Heat

基　　金：北京市自然科学基金重点资助项目(8111002)

摘　　要：对北京市燃气管道失效事故的统计数据进行分析,建立以评分法为基础的城市燃气管道风险评分体系,结合模糊综合评价法论述评价原理及流程。以实际管段为评价实例,分析了其失效的可能性。The statistical data on failure acci- dents of gas pipeline in Beijing are analyzed. A risk assessment system of city gas pipeline is established based on score method. The principle and process of risk assessment are expounded with fuzzy comprehen- sive assessment method. An actual pipeline section is taken for assessment example, and the possibility of its failure is analyzed.

关 键 词：风险评价 城镇燃气管道 模糊综合评价 评分法 

分 类 号：TU996[建筑科学—供热、供燃气、通风及空调工程]