平战不确定需求下社会应急资源供应商布局  

Deploying of Social Emergency Resource Suppliers to Cope with Uncertain Demand in Peace and Disaster Time

作　　者：胡少龙[1] 胡志华[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]上海海事大学物流研究中心,上海201306 [2]同济大学经济与管理学院,上海200092

出　　处：《计算机工程》2013年第2期299-303,310,共6页Computer Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71101088);中国博士后科学基金资助项目(2011M500077);上海市自然科学基金资助项目(10ZR1413200);国家社会科学基金资助重点项目(11&ZD169);教育部博士点基金资助项目(20113121120002);教育部人文社科基金资助一般项目(10YJC630087);上海市教委科研创新基金资助项目(10YZ115)

摘　　要：针对"平战"2种状态以及需求不确定条件下的供应商选址问题,提出社会应急资源供应商布局策略。建立"平"时供应商选址随机混合整数规划模型,运用期望值方法和随机模拟方法处理不确定性需求,并基于"平"时的优化模型,建立"战"时供应商选址整数规划模型。仿真结果表明,该策略能有效协调优化"平战"2种状态下的供应商布局。Under the situation of peace and disaster time,this paper studies a deploying problem of suppliers with the uncertain demand.A stochastic mixed integer programming model is built to deal with the location problem of suppliers in peace time.It is important to note uncertain demands are studied by expected-value and stochastic simulation approach.And then based on the model for peace time,an integer programming model is built for disaster time.Simulation results show that the model can effectively coordinate the suppliers deploying problem,and it can provide a guideline to the future research of integral deploying problem in peace and disaster time.

关 键 词：应急物流 社会应急资源 选址 不确定性需求 随机混合整数规划 

分 类 号：F253.4[经济管理—国民经济]