基于熵值法的湖南省农业可持续发展能力动态评价  

DYNAMIC ASSESSMENT OF REGIONAL AGRICULTURAL SUSTAINABILITY OF HUNAN PROVINCE BASED ON ENTROPY METHOD

作　　者：袁久和[1,2] 祁春节[1] 

机构地区：[1]华中农业大学经济与管理学院,湖北武汉430070 [2]湖北民族学院经济与管理学院,湖北武汉445000

出　　处：《长江流域资源与环境》2013年第2期152-157,共6页Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin

基　　金：国家现代农业(柑橘)产业技术体系(MATS)专项(CARS-27-07B);湖北省高等学校优秀中青年科技创新团队计划项目"农产品流通体系及问题研究"(T200813)

摘　　要：农业可持续发展的核心思想是农业发展应建立在生态可持续、社会可持续和资源环境可持续的基础上。通过建立农业可持续发展的层次模型,运用熵值法对湖南2001～2010年农业可持续发展的评价表明:湖南省农业可持续发展总体水平不断提高,人口、社会、经济、资源和环境各子系统的可持续发展水平也呈现上升态势。但是,各子系统可持续发展水平变化存在明显差异,经济子系统发展水平最快,资源和社会子系统次之,环境子系统最慢,湖南省农业可持续发展状态总体处于不协调状态。根据各子系统可持续发展的影响因素,结合各因素之间的相互影响,采取有效的经济政策和调控措施,增强整个系统的有序性和协调性,是提升湖南省农业可持续发展整体水平的必然选择。Agricultural development established with sustainable ecology, society, environment and resources is the core idea of agricultural sustainable development. Agricultural sustainable development in Hunan Province during 2001- 2010 was assessed by set-up of the level model of agricultural sustainable development and the entropy method. The results indicated that the overall process of agricultural sustain- able development in Hunan Province was on the rise. However, the development of sub-systems showed significant differences. Economical system developed the fastest, followed by the social and resource sys- tem, the environmental system was the last. Thus, the agricultural sustainable development in Hunan Province was discordant in general. In order to improve the whole sustainable development of agriculture in Hunan Province, it is necessary to take effective economic policies and controls to enhance the coordination of the entire system, based on all factors affecting sustainable development of sub-systems and mutual influences among the factors.

关 键 词：熵值法 农业可持续发展 湖南省 动态评价 

分 类 号：S1[农业科学—农业基础科学]