FTA在工程进度风险分析中的应用  

Application of Fault Tree Analysis in Project Schedule Risk

作　　者：张丽文[1] 张云波[1] 祁神军[1] 沈登民[1] 

机构地区：[1]华侨大学土木工程学院,福建厦门361021

出　　处：《武汉理工大学学报（信息与管理工程版）》2013年第1期94-97,110,共5页Journal of Wuhan University of Technology：Information & Management Engineering

基　　金：国务院侨办科研基金资助项目(06Q0052);福建省自然科学基金资助项目(E9910026);中央高校基本科研业务基金资助项目(11QZR06);福建省自然科学基金青年人才创新基金资助项目(2012J05095)

摘　　要：针对建设工程项目的进度风险,以全寿命周期风险管理理论为基础,运用故障树分析方法,建立了工程进度风险分析模型。通过求解其结构重要度系数,得出了对项目延期完工影响最大的因素,提出了重要影响因素的应对措施,对工程的按期完工具有一定意义。Considering the schedule risk in the project, based on the theory of life cycle risk management and the method of fault tree analysis, the model of schedule risk analysis was set up. The most important factors for the completion of the project were concluded by solving the importance coefficient of the structure. Finally, corresponding measures were given for the important factors. It was of certain significance for the project completion on schedule.

关 键 词：建设工程项目 进度风险 风险识别 故障树分析(FTA) 全寿命周期 

分 类 号：F284[经济管理—国民经济]