新生人口、家庭再分配与地区的文化服务消费——基于直接比例税视角的经验分析  

Newborns,Intra-household Distribution of Income and the Consumption of Cultural Services——Empirical Research Based on Direct and Proportional Tax

作　　者：于忠江[1] 

机构地区：[1]郑州航空工业管理学院经贸学院,河南郑州450015

出　　处：《商业经济与管理》2013年第2期71-82,共12页Journal of Business Economics

基　　金：2011年度全国统计科研计划项目(2011LY023);教育部重点研究基地重点研究项目(07JJD790153);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(10YJC790327;09YJC840004);郑州航空工业管理学院"区域经济理论与实践创新团队"项目

摘　　要：文章利用30个省级行政单位2003-2010年的面板数据,运用固定效应回归模型展开分析,研究了新生人口对地区文化服务消费的影响。结果发现:在控制收入、政府文化支出、人口素质、老年人口负担、社会保障支出等变量后,新生人口数量对文化服务消费有显著的消极影响。这说明当年的新生人口越多,该地区的文化消费越有可能显著减少。文章对此现象的解释是:新生人口对家庭而言,具有类似于直接的比例税效应,新生儿出生即意味着税收的增加,由此带来的家庭内部收入再分配会促使父母首先减少收入弹性大的文化服务的消费。因此文章的研究意味着,在发展文化服务产业时,除了"就文化产业谈文化发展"的思路外,其他思路也需要考虑,而就文章研究本身而言,减少新生子女父母的负担将有助于增加对文化服务产业的消费,并促进文化服务产业的发展。This paper analyzes the effect of newborns on regional consumption of cultural services with 30 provincial units＇ panel data during 2003-2010. And the result from econometrical model is ： the number of newborns has significantly negative influence on the consumption of cultural services if income, government＇s cultural expenditures, population quality, burdens of elders and social security expenditures are controlled. It shows that the more the newborns, the less the region＇s cultural service consumption. The explanation of this phenomenon is that newborns are similar with directly proportional tax for a family, which brings about intra- household redistribution of income to reduce the consumption of the more elastic items. Because cultural services are such items, so they are the first to be reduced. This finding implies that, if we want to develop the industry of cultural services, measures outside cultural industry must be taken seriously. As for this paper, it means reducing the burdens from newborns will increase the consumption of cultural services.

关 键 词：新生人口 文化服务消费 税收效应 收入再分配 收入弹性 

分 类 号：F063.2[经济管理—政治经济学]