基于Panel Data模型的土地供应量对新型工业化发展的影响研究  

Study of Land Supply Effects on New Industrialization Development based on Panel Data Model

作　　者：谭术魁[1] 林琳[1] 齐睿[2] 

机构地区：[1]华中科技大学公共管理学院,湖北武汉430074 [2]中国地质大学公共管理学院,湖北武汉430074

出　　处：《中国房地产（学术版）》2013年第2期21-26,共6页China Real Estate

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目"中国工业化的资源环境人口制约新型工业化道路研究"(09&ZD025)

摘　　要：为了更好地了解土地供应量的变化对新型工业化发展产生的影响,基于2005-2009年省际面板数据,采用随机效应模型定量测算土地供应量对新型工业化发展的影响。研究结果表明:1.土地供应量与新型工业化发展之间存在明显的正相关关系,新型工业化发展水平会随着土地供应量的增加而提升。2.土地供应量对新型工业化发展的影响系数在不同省份之间差别不大。经济较为发达的省份其新型工业化发展水平受土地供应量的影响较其他省份略大。可见,目前我国的工业化发展仍处在以工业用地投入量的增加来获取工业产出增加的粗放式发展阶段,而土地资源的有限性要求改变这种发展模式。In order to study how land supply affects New Industrialization development, random-effect model was chosen to make a quantitative determination of effects of land supply on New Industrialization development based on panel data from 2005 to 2009. The results show that（1） the increment of land supply produced positive effects on New Industrialization development. The effects were statistically significant. New Industrialization development level will upgrade with the increase in land supply. （2） The coefficient for the effects land supply produced on New Industrialization development made little difference between different provinces. The New Industrialization development of developed provinces was more significantly affected by land supply than others. These results show that the Industrialization of our country today most depends on high land supply. However, limited land resources require changes on this develop model

关 键 词：土地供应量 新型工业化发展 面板数据模型 影响 

分 类 号：F061.6[经济管理—政治经济学]