中国省际经济差距来源分析  

Analysis of Source of Inter-province Economic Disparity in China

作　　者：石风光[1] 

机构地区：[1]安阳师范学院经济学院,河南安阳455000

出　　处：《统计与信息论坛》2013年第3期32-37,共6页Journal of Statistics and Information

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目<基于全要素生产率视角的中国省际经济差距研究>(11YJC790152)

摘　　要：在利用索洛模型对中国省区1985—2009年经济增长进行分解的基础上,结合空间标准差指标并采用基于VAR模型的脉冲响应函数分析了中国省际经济差距状况及来源。研究发现:总的来看,中国省区劳均产出与要素投入均呈现空间σ趋异倾向,而全要素生产率则在呈现空间σ收敛后趋于稳定。进一步利用VAR模型及脉冲响应函数分析发现,在较长时期内,要素投入总体上扩大了中国省际经济差距,而全要素生产率则有助于缩小省际经济差距,这主要是由要素投入的经济拉动滞后效应和技术的扩散效应所致。Based on the decomposition of provincial economic growth in China from 1985 to E009 by using Solow Model, this paper analyzes inter-province economic disparity and its＇ source by using spatial standard deviation index and impulse response function based on VAR model. The main conclusions are as follows. On the whole, per capita output and factor input of province show spatialedivergence tendency, while TFP shows spatial a convergence and then tends to be stable. Further analysis of VAR model and impulse response finds that factor input impact overall expands inter-province economic disparity, while TFP impact can help to narrow inter-province economic disparity in the long term, which is caused by lag pulling effect of factor input and diffusion effect of technology. Finally, according to above conclusions, the corresponding policy suggestions are given.

关 键 词：经济协动空间权重矩阵 脉冲响应函数 要素投入 全要素生产率 省际经济差距 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]