线性回归结合秩和比法对医院收容量的预测  

Forecast of Hospitalization with the Method of Linear Regression Coupled with RSR

作　　者：王启栋[1] 王洁贞[2] 刘荣甫[1] 刘召平[1] 鞠峰[1] 

机构地区：[1]济南军区总医院信息科,1250031 [2]山东医科大学科研处

出　　处：《中国医院统计》2000年第3期145-146,共2页Chinese Journal of Hospital Statistics

摘　　要：目的　对医院收容量进行预测。方法　应用线性回归和秩和比法。结果　对某院 1990年～ 1998年收容人数进行了分析预测。结论　本法简洁、直观 ,预测误差小 ,能为医院管理和决策提供科学依据 ,是一种较好的预测方法。Objective To forecast hospitalization. Methods Linear regression coupled with RSR is applied in this paper. Results Hospitalization of our hospital from 1990 to 1998 is forecast and analyzed. Conclusion Results show that this method is simple, direct and its predictive error is small. It as a good forecast tool can provide a scientific basis for hospital management and decision.

关 键 词：线性回归 秩和比法 预测 医院收容量 

分 类 号：R197.322[医药卫生—卫生事业管理]