21世纪初中东地缘政治格局变化及应对  

The Middle East Regional Geopolitics at the Beginning of the 21st Century

作　　者：金良祥[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海国际问题研究院西亚非洲研究中心

出　　处：《阿拉伯世界研究》2013年第2期29-39,共11页Arab World Studies

基　　金：2009年度上海市社科规划一般课题(2009JG501-BGJ940)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：冷战结束后,美国成为世界唯一的超级大国,中东地区形成了以美国为主导、由亲美和反美力量组成的地区力量格局。进入21世纪后,美国的相对衰落、两场反恐战争以及"阿拉伯之春"等因素推动了中东地缘政治格局转换。美国主导中东事务的能力下降,新兴经济体逐步在外部军事干预等问题上对其形成有力牵制;地区大国借机扩大其对地区事务的影响力,可望形成相互竞争和牵制的地区力量格局;逊尼派与什叶派矛盾仍在持续,宗教地缘冲突将成为该地区政治的重要特点,中国中东外交的相互调整势在必行。The US became the unique super power after the Cold War, and the Middle East reasonably turned into a region dominated by the US and divided into the two camps of pro-American and anti-American forces. The beginning of the 21 ^st century witnessed the relative decline of the US, the two counter-terrorism wars and ＂Arab Spring＂ as well, which all had facilitated the transformation of regional geopolitical structure. The US no longer has the capability to dominate regional affairs in the Middle East, and the newly emerging powers have collectively become a balance against the US in the issues like humanitarian intervention. Regional powers are taking advantages of the opportunity to expand their roles while competing for influences. Conflicts between Sunnis and Shias are becoming more and more intensive.

关 键 词：中东地缘政治 传统大国 新兴经济体 地区大国 宗教地缘政治 

分 类 号：D815[政治法律—国际关系]