我国人造板产业内贸易与竞争力关系研究——基于格兰杰检验的实证分析  

Demonstration Research on the Relationship between the Intra-industry Trade and Industrial Competitiveness of Chinese Wood-Based Panels Industry——Based on Granger Causality Test

作　　者：唐帅[1] 宋维明[1] 程宝栋[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京林业大学经济管理学院

出　　处：《林业经济》2013年第2期39-43,共5页Forestry Economics

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学青年基金项目“中国木材产品产业内贸易研究”(编号:10YJC790031);国家林业局2009年林业公益性行业科研专项“基于林改的森林资源可持续经营技术研究”(编号:2009432003)

摘　　要：随着我国人造板产业的快速发展,贸易规模持续扩大,产业竞争力明显提升。文章首先测定我国人造板产业内贸易和竞争力水平,通过协整检验和格兰杰因果检验分析两者之间的关系并得出结论：人造板产业竞争力是产业内贸易的格兰杰原因。我国人造板属于劳动密集型产业,没有形成产品差异化,产业内贸易并不是产业竞争力的格兰杰原因。为发展人造板产业内贸易,提升产业竞争力,提出政策建议。With the development of Chinese wood-based panels industry, the exports scale grows fast and the industrial competitiveness improves significantly. In this essay, we calculate the level of intra-industry trade and competitiveness of wood-based panels industry firstly, and then analyze the relationship between them by co integration test and Granger causality test and get conclusion. The results show that industrial competitiveness is the Granger cause ofintra-industry trade. However, Chinese wood-based panels industry is still a labor-intensive industry without products differentiations, so intra-industry trade isn＇ t Granger cause of industrial competitiveness. In the end, we put forward some policy suggestions to develop intra-industry trade and improve industrial competitiveness of Chinese wood-based panels industry.

关 键 词：人造板 产业内贸易 产业竞争力 格兰杰检验 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] F426.88