基于扩展线性支出系统(ELES)的北京市居民用户能源价格响应特性研究  

Analysis of Residential Energy Price Response Characteristics in Beijing Based on Extended Liner Expenditure System

作　　者：何永秀[1] 吴锐[1] 

机构地区：[1]华北电力大学经济与管理学院,北京102206

出　　处：《华北电力大学学报（社会科学版）》2013年第1期8-13,共6页Journal of North China Electric Power University(Social Sciences)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目"基于低碳经济的能源价格体系动态优化理论实证研究"(项目编号:71273089);北京市自然科学基金资助项目"北京市实现碳强度目标的能源价格政策研究与路径选择"(项目编号:9122022)

摘　　要：居民能源价格响应情况分析,对于制定合理的能源价格机制以激励用户进行响应来保证能源供给与能源需求的相对平衡及节能环保具有重要的意义。本文根据扩展线性支出系统(ELES)模型的基本理论,运用2006—2010年北京市居民平均每人全年用能消费支出和可支配收入的数据,对北京市居民的用能消费结构、能源价格的响应特征进行了实证分析。研究结果显示,各能源之间的交叉价格弹性总体较小,表现为互补关系,但电力和汽油之间的交叉价格弹性相对较大,表现出较强的替代关系。The analysis of energy prices response characteristics of residents is significant to the development of rational energy pricing mechanism. It motivates users to respond in order to ensure the relative balance of energy supply and energy demand as well as energy conservation and environmental protection. According to the basic theory of Extended Linear Expenditure System （ELLS）, the energy consumption structure and price response characteristics of Beijing residents can be analyzed by making use of the data of Beijing residents full year energy consumption spending and disposable income per person from 2006 to 2010. The research results show the cross-price elasticity between energies is small which performance as complementary relationship, but the cross-price elasticity between electricity and gasoline is relatively large, and it is with strong substitution.

关 键 词：扩展线性支出系统(ELES) 居民能源消费 能源价格 价格弹性 价格响应 

分 类 号：F407.61[经济管理—产业经济]